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George
Slezak's www. Stock Index Timing .com Index
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MARKET VIEWS .TV INTERVIEW CHART PAGE |
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The following charts are for reference to the interview of George Slezak by Ike Iossif of Market Views .TV on October 29, 2007. ----------------- From Stock Index Timing .com In my Stock Index Timing .com web site, every month or so I run a review of the current market's position relative to the Presidential election year. I am currently bearish on the market and I received an email from a non subscriber telling me that I should not be bearish because November and December are the strongest months of the year. I agree, generally, that November and December are among the strongest months of the year. But, the following review focusing, on November and December in YEARS PRIOR TO PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION YEARS, shows that the months of November and December do not hold the high probability of being strong months when they are in years before Presidential elections. The following charts CENTER the next election, November 4, 2008, in the center of the chart with the current market in RED, and the previous Presidential election CENTERED below. I am showing comparisons to Presidential election years back to 1888. Look at each chart and focus on the few months that are after the end of the red bars to get a view of the months of November and December in years BEFORE the Presidential election year.
============================================ 2004 R- Bush
============================================ 2000 R - Bush
============================================ 1996 D- Clinton
============================================ 1992 D- Clinton
============================================ 1988 R - Bush
============================================ 1984 R - Reagan
============================================ 1980 R - Reagan
============================================ 1976 D - Carter
============================================ 1972 R - Nixon
============================================ 1968 R - Nixon
============================================ 1964 D - Johnson
============================================ 1960 D - Kennedy
============================================ 1956 R - Eisenhower
============================================ 1952 R - Eisenhower
============================================ 1948 D Truman
============================================ 1944 D - Truman
============================================ 1940 - FDR
============================================ 1936 D - FDR
============================================ 1932 D - FDR
============================================ 1928 R - Hoover
============================================ 1924 R - Coolidge
============================================ 1920 R - Harding
============================================ 1916 D- Wilson
============================================ 1912 D- Wilson
============================================ 1908 R - Taft
============================================ 1904 R - T Roosevelt
============================================ 1900 R - McKinley
============================================ 1896 R - Mc Kinley
============================================ 1892 D - Cleveland
============================================ 1888 R - Harrison
------------------- My conclusion from the above review is the general idea that November and December will be up months just doesn't carry a high probability in the year before a Presidential election year. Good luck and good trading! George
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For more information call George at 1-888-311-3400, or email george@ georgeslezak.com All aspects of any trade recommendations contained in this report are subject to modification at any time. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE AND THE RISK OF LOSS SHOULD BE CONSIDERED CAREFULLY BEFORE MAKING ANY TRADES. A STOP LOSS MAY NOT LIMIT YOUR LOSS TO THE AMOUNT INTENDED. YOU SHOULD BE FOREWARNED THAT SYSTEMS WHICH TRIGGER FREQUENT TRADING SIGNALS AS PART OF A DAY TRADING STRATEGY CAN RESULT IN SUBSTANTIAL COMMISSIONS AND FEES. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. ANY STATEMENT OF FACTS HEREIN CONTAINED ARE DERIVED FROM SOURCES BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE, BUT ARE NOT GUARANTEED AS TO ACCURACY, NOR DO THEY PURPORT TO BE COMPLETE. ANY REFERENCE TO PERFORMANCE IS INTENDED TO BE UNDERSTOOD AS STRICTLY THEORETICAL. REGULATORY DISCLOSURES REGARDING HYPOTHETICAL RESULTS HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THE RISK OF LOSS EXISTS IN FUTURES TRADING. All traders should read the CFTC CONSUMER ALERTS and the "COMMISSION ADVISORY" on trading systems.
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